The New Media Paradigm

by James R. Stoup Oct 28, 2005

The times, they are a changing. And to help understand some of the factors that will influence the way you purchase digital media I have compiled five factors that I deem to be important in the shaping of the industry.

Apple Unleashed - The evolution of iTunes

Once upon a time iTunes was just a simple application that played music. But oh, how it has changed since then. Though many people think that iTunes 6 is only important because it allows you to play video, they are wrong. ITunes isn’t important because it plays music, or movies, or podcast. No, iTunes is revolutionary because it has morphed into an application for purchasing and managing digital media, that includes some form of copyright protection (FairPlay), via the internet.

Here is the proof. Currently iTunes allows you to buy music, music videos, short Pixar animations and TV shows. Now, nothing fundamental about the program needs to change to allow customers to purchase any of the following products:  movies, discontinued TV shows, current TV shows, cable shows, cartoons, news broadcasts, video games, applications, operating systems, e-books, pictures, or anything else that can be transfered over the net.

The time it would take to download some of these things would be fairly long but the potential exists. Think about it this way, Apple has created a product that large businesses could trust with their products. With Apple supplying the DRM and a ready made store, then it would a colossal blunder for major companies not to tap into this highly lucrative revenue stream.

How many of us would like to buy TV shows that are currently discontinued? Off the top of my head I can think of a half dozen quite easily. Anyone remember Space: Above and Beyond? How about Nowhere Man? Reboot, Transformers and TimeTrax are a few more I would love to have.

Currently I can hunt around eBay for some of these titles but it would be so much easier if I could just buy them online via iTunes. How about the newest version of the iWork suite? Why not just download that to your computer? Need a new video game for your PS3? How would you like to demo it online, download it and then wirelessly transmit it to your game machine? The technology is already here all we need is the content providers to see the light and Apple to make it all work seamlessly.

This is not to say that iTunes is perfect, it isn’t. But it is moving in the right direction. Some features I would like to find in the ITMS are better categories, especially for podcasts. It would be very helpful if they expanded some of the current breakdowns of usage. When I click on the Science section of the podcast directory I am confronted with quite a few choices. It would be great if I could search those various criteria. Such as popularity, broadcasting location or date of creation. And searching via location would be more useful for local interest items.

Also, why not use the spotlight technology to search through the ITMS. How many of us have ever wanted to buy a song off of ITMS but didn’t know the artist or title but could hum a few lyrics? What did you do? Google of course. From there you got the needed info and then went back to the ITMS. With a little effort Apple could save you that step. Not drastically important but it would be a nice touch.

Rich & Greedy - The music industry missed the boat

Maybe some of you have heard that the music industry is upset with Mr. Jobs because he won’t change the pricing on iTunes. To that I must say “boo hoo, don’t care”. I really did try but no matter how hard I looked I just couldn’t find a drop of pity in my soul for the music industry. And there are a few things that contribute to those lack of feelings. Remember when the industry got busted for price fixing in the mid-90s? Yeah, they forgot to mention that little item in their “woe is me” campaign. Then there is the fact that they do nothing and essentially get free money from the ITMS. Remember, about 70% of every 99 cent track goes to them. The rest goes to Apple and after they take out operating expenses then whatever is left over they count as profit. That is why the music store sells a lot of songs, it doesn’t produce a lot of revenue for Apple. And of course we can’t forget how the industry shamelessly shafts its artist. The breakdown is like this:  Apple ~ 30%, Industry 70% (59% for company 11% for artist) Not very fair for the artist is it? So, when I hear that apparently the music industry isn’t making enough money and thus feels the need to charge us more I feel very little sympathy for them. And, I just want to remind them, most people have no problem going back to piracy. Because a new type of consumer is emerging who thinks that “if it isn’t on iTunes then it deserves to be stolen”. If you, as a company, refuse to make your product easy to purchase by your customers then you can’t be surprised when people acquire it illegally.

And while this news will surely make Sony, BMG and the rest cry buckets of tears they have only themselves to blame. When digital music was first beginning to become popular they had an opportunity to capitalize on it. But, instead they decided to try and kill this new technology and cling to the past in an attempt to charge customers as much as possible. That less than brilliant strategy resulted in todays quagmire. Namely, the realization that they need Apple more than Apple needs them. And I am not talking about today, I am talking about five years down the road. Or ten. Or 20 when all the music you buy will be online. Piss them off now and how long before that 70% cut goes down to say 40%? Or, even scarier, if Apple approached an artist and suggested they cut a deal together and completely exclude the labels. Don’t think that hasn’t crossed their minds once or twice. The revolution isn’t coming, the revolution is now.

Movies - Things are changing

Consistently, year after year, movie theater attendance is down. Why? Well, part of the problem is that hollywood continues to make crap. Does Catwoman ring a bell? How about any of the Resident Evil movies? Alone in the Dark (or for that matter, any video game based movie), Taxi, Napoleon Dynamite (why was this a movie?), anything with Tom Arnold or Snoop Dog in it, Battlefield Earth, any “teen” movie, The master of disguise and the list goes on and on and on and on and on and on and on. Most of the movies currently playing in your local multiplex suck. And, if you are lucky, they only moderately suck (think War of the Worlds ) instead of well and truely sucking (think Doom). And then of course there are those few movies who go beyond suck and, due to the marketing blitz, become black holes of suction. That never coveted spot must go to the Star Wars Prequels.

But if you decide to press on and see a movie at your local theater (and let’s assume you get lucky and decide to see Batman Begins or Wallace and Gromit) then you still have to deal with over priced food, stale popcorn, loud people, cell phones, out of focus pictures, morons talking and sticky floors. Is it any wonder that movie attendance is down? The industry needs a shake things up and here are a few suggestions.

First, sell copies of the movie on DVD at the theater. In other words, beat the pirates to the punch. After seeing Batman Begins I would have definitely paid $20 to walk out of the theater with a copy in my hands. Why? Because it was an excellent movie. Studios are steadily decreasing the time from movie release on the big screen to DVD release at Walmart. Since this trend shows no signs of reversing then maybe they should just admit that things need to change and release everything at once.

Second, this includes downloads of the movie via ITMS. Let’s face it, there is a certain number of people who will never buy your product because they would rather get it free, so forget them. The industry needs to focus on the the group who might get it off of bit torrent if there wasn’t a legal means of easily purchasing it digitally. That is the group that should be targeted.

Culture of thieves - The Kazaa generation

New studies have shown that even with the advent of iTunes a vast majority of teenagers would still rather steal their music than pay for it. To that I must say, DUH! And no matter how many people the RIAA sues this trend will not die. The only way to reach these people is to offer a compelling solution that is unequivocally leaps and bounds better than bit torrent. Here is a hint, charging higher prices for music isn’t the way to end piracy! However, offering a comprehensive library of titles that is easy to search and guaranteed to download quickly, all at a reasonable price with fair DRM is a step in the right direction. And the best part is that this model is media independent. You could just as easily stick music in there as you could TV shows or movies.

Pushing the envelope - iPorn & more

Two days after the new iPod was announced there were “iPorn” movies being sold on adult sites. That is a wonderful example of a company adapting to changes in the market and they will not be alone. Anyone know what the most popular podcast is at last count? Tiki Bar TV. And guess what, you won’t find it on ABC, NBC or CBS. The show is interesting, funny and able to be downloaded whenever you like. Net result, they are the most popular podcast with no signs of relinquishing the top spot. This is only the beginning.

Imagine how far this can be taken. Anyone with a decent camera, a good computer and access to the net can produce their own TV show. Here are some directions this could take:

  • Novice film makers can now reach a large audience
  • Reality TV, the home edition. Now anyone can be a TV star
  • The local news will really be local
  • Film majors at colleges can now post their senior project right to the web
  • Special interest films are about to become lots more popular
  • High school and college sports (not already covered on ESPN) can now be enjoyed by all

And the list goes on. Eventually anyone with enough money and talent will be able to make their own movie, animation or film and post it directly to the web. And, if it becomes popular enough, they can charge for it which will create a whole new industry of do-it-yourself movie makers. The future looks bright and I can’t wait to get there.

 

Comments

  • While I would love to see everyone’s expected vision of the future of film come true, that a larger and larger audience is watching homebrew truly independent film, one only has to look to the iTunes music store for proof that it WON’T happen.  The iTunes Top 10 (or Top 100 for that matter) is still filled with music that many would consider to be corporate-produced tripe.  Despite Apple’s best efforts to put the power of music production into everyone’s hands there still has yet to be a true breakout megahit using only garageband.  I believe that this will hold true for film and video as well as soon as even a few major players get on board with the idea of selling via iTunes and like services.

    People watch stuff like Tiki Bar TV or whatever it’s called because it’s there and features an attractive female on it’s thumbnail picture.  Head over to Veoh (another similar video delivery service) and you’ll see much the same thing - no one looking for anything other than soft-core porn.  There’s probably 5 dozen video blogs available on Veoh now but most of them are largely ignored (and not without good reason in a lot of cases either).  Though I love the idea of everyone being able to create music and video, the fact is that not everyone SHOULD create music and video, especially if the content ultimately costs money.  I’m hoping iTunes will be a little more picky about what it has available so as to eliminate what I feel almost instantly killed their Podcast section:  quantity over quality.  While I hate to think of Apple as the “entertainment police”, determining what is good and what is not, there currently exists a massive overkill in podcasts available via iTunes and I can see this quickly happening in the video area as well as new iPod buyers clammer to get that 30/60GB filled with content because they can.

    I am excited though about the prospect of buying old favorite TV shows though.  Currently, I hate to admit, I look to BitTorrent for anything that isn’t available on DVD - case in point: I’m a die-hard Seinfeld fan and felt snubbed for years on DVD.  I would have bought every last episode via iTunes for $1.99 - no questions asked - assuming the episodes were in 640x480 resolution of course, anything less just doesn’t cut it.

    dickrichards2000 had this to say on Oct 28, 2005 Posts: 112
  • Oh yeah, and where on earth are people watching iPorn??  If we’re using iPod’s cool new video feature to watch video “on-the-go” then where are these people going with their porn?  I commend (again and again it seems) the porn film industry for staying ahead of the curve (again and again) but you’ve really got to wonder where they intend to watch it?  On a plane?  On a subway?  On the bus?  Perhaps I’ll download some and find out…

    dickrichards2000 had this to say on Oct 28, 2005 Posts: 112
  • Space: Above and Beyond? For sure I would love to buy that, it is an excellent piece of television. But at this time I am not supposed to buy it, it is not available on code2 DVD. Ha! :(

    James, this is an excellent article & I agree on many points. iTunes has become a serious entertainment front-end. The problem is: I use the iTMS to sample music all the time, but do I buy from it? No. And why? Why do I take Apple’s effort and the buy from Amazon? Because Apple’s previews are good quality & easy to get, while Amazon’s previews are very bad quality & force me to use Real. Nevertheless, at Amazon I will get the better product, which is what matters (to me) in the end. I will get full CD / SACD / DVD quality. If I am supposed to pay for downloaded media then that media has to be equal in quality or excell the quality of physical media while costing less.

    dick, well, I am not exactly a porn expert, but I would suppose many folks would take their iPorn to the bathroom. Or to the pub. You would be amazed what is going on on the cellphones of those cultivated looking persons over at the next table.

    Bad Beaver had this to say on Oct 28, 2005 Posts: 371
  • I’m not so optimistic about the future of digital downloads.  I agree with Dick…iTunes unfortunately is just a vehicle to push major label music and just who is it clamoring for MORE money? The Majors.

    iTunes is a testing ground for me to see if I like artists but the safe bet is always the CD provided it doesn’t have DRM which they all will eventually.

    I’m not happy paying my good money for substandard quality. 320x320 or 128kpb AAC is just barely acceptable.

    Frankly I think I’m more interested in seeing what happens in the independent areas and spending my money on these people.

    I hope the best for Apple but I see them in a no win situation. The content providers own the content and “will” get their money eventually.

    hmurchison had this to say on Oct 28, 2005 Posts: 145
  • I think the quality aspect gets too little attention on Apple Matters, it would well be worth an article.

    Bad Beaver had this to say on Oct 28, 2005 Posts: 371
  • That was a very nice and interesting article considering it my first to read at applematters.com.
    I also think your idea of selling DVDs at movie theaters is an excellent idea!
    But I do have one gripe with your article. I wish you wouldn’t group the the music industry together under one term. I run a small independent label in the UK and I give my artists 50%  (rather than 11%) and I work very hard for my 50%. I’d very much appreciate if you wrote “major corporate labels” instead of “music industry”.

    Otherwise, great article. I think I’m gonna stick around.

    Luke Mildenhall-Ward had this to say on Oct 30, 2005 Posts: 299
  • I am optimistic about the future of iTMS.  I think as Apple gains greater dominance in the PC market, we will see more control and diversification of the iTMS selection.  There are several reasons that Apple had to make iTMS crawl before it ran. 
    Remember there are still plenty of people out their still using PC boxes and dial up modems.  The only way Apple can get those people into the fold is to offer the smaller file-sized content currently in iTMS. 
    Right now Apple is somewhat at the mercy of the big lables because they own the content, but soon Apple will be in a better bargaining position to offer higher content.

    Give Apple a little credit.  I think they have thought this through more than most of us and have considered numerous options and contingencies based on how customers vote ($).  If Apple has proven anything over the years it has been the company innovation and willingness to change.

    mr.data had this to say on Oct 30, 2005 Posts: 2
  • I would love to see a survey regarding the number of people on dialup using any sort of download system, be it the iTMS or p2p, to aquire music.

    Bad Beaver had this to say on Oct 30, 2005 Posts: 371
  • Really, the people I know who still use dialup are largely not very interested in the web, they are more the type that checks his Email so rarely that you better call them.

    Bad Beaver had this to say on Oct 30, 2005 Posts: 371
  • I used to use Napster on a dialup connection, but that was 5 or so years ago now. For a song or two it wasn’t that bad.

    I do want to make a small correction though - I saw a band a few nights back, a weird little act called Viva Voce, and was surprised when I went home and was able to download their albums from the iTunes store.  Considering it was a $5 show I never expected to find them but it seemed a good test of just how level the iTunes playing field is.  Hopefully they got a buck or two from my purchase.

    Luke, are you and your label dealing with iTunes at all?  If so just how friendly to you are they?  My band and I just finished our full length CD and were considering iTunes as a means of distribution (because only a fool wouldn’t) and were wondering how easy it is to do.

    dickrichards2000 had this to say on Oct 31, 2005 Posts: 112
  • Sure teens would rather steal music then pay for it, but they also steal comics, gum, games, but then they grow up (well, most do).

    SaddlerB had this to say on Oct 31, 2005 Posts: 11
  • Hmmmm, talk about rather innocent teens….  I stole cigarettes, liqour, and porn and sold them to other teens.

    dickrichards2000 had this to say on Nov 01, 2005 Posts: 112
  • ... to buy?

    Bad Beaver had this to say on Nov 01, 2005 Posts: 371
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